Levant Tension IndexA daily escalation/de-escalation index for Israel, Lebanon, Syria, the Palestinian territories and Jordan, from open-source indicators & warnings. A heuristic, not a forecast.

What changed · 6 Sep 2026

Israeli strikes on Nabatieh district killed at least seven people, part of a surge that Lebanon's ministry counted at 27 dead in three days.

• Military posture: 6/10 · Overall judgement: a cluster of lethal strikes in south Lebanon is the main driver.
• Diplomatic / political: 5/10 · Kushner said Israel was acting 'a little irrational' on Gaza because of the October election; the US pressed a Hamas decommissioning plan paired with Israeli withdrawal (Times of Israel).
• Economic / informational: 5/10 · Iran announced a prohibited zone near Hormuz and raised fuel prices under war and sanctions (Times of Israel).
• Humanitarian: 5/10 · Lebanon's ministry puts total deaths since October 2023 near 9,000 (Al Jazeera); the figure is the ministry's.
• EW / SIGINT: 3/10 · No new interference beyond routine background jamming was reported in the sources reviewed.

Sources

• Times of Israel: Sept. 6: Beersheba mayor said to turn down Netanyahu offer to run with Likud; Ayelet Shaked won't run
• Al Jazeera: Israeli air attacks kill at least 12 people in southern Lebanon

Open the interactive view → · Sign in to download the full data (CSV/JSON, free account)