Levant Tension IndexA daily escalation/de-escalation index for Israel, Lebanon, Syria, the Palestinian territories and Jordan, from open-source indicators & warnings. A heuristic, not a forecast.

What changed · 10 Sep 2026

The IDF detonated more than 1,100 tons of explosives to destroy Hezbollah tunnels at Ali Taher Ridge, causing a 4.1-magnitude quake, and Netanyahu and Katz said the south Lebanon security zone was complete.

• Military posture: 6/10 · Overall judgement: the large demolition in Lebanon and the aftermath of the Iranian strike on Jordan keep the military picture elevated.
• Diplomatic / political: 5/10 · Israel-Lebanon talks were scheduled in Rome for the following week; the PA signalled legislative elections would be delayed (Times of Israel).
• Economic / informational: 6/10 · The US Treasury sanctioned networks aiding Hezbollah and other Iranian proxies in Iraq, Lebanon and Turkey; Hormuz transits fell to single digits (Times of Israel).
• Humanitarian: 5/10 · Kerem Shalom was set to close for Rosh Hashanah while aid collection continued (Times of Israel).
• EW / SIGINT: 3/10 · No new interference beyond routine background jamming was reported in the sources reviewed.

Sources

• Times of Israel: Sept. 10: Earthquake recorded after IDF demolition of Hezbollah tunnel network in south Lebanon

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