Levant Tension IndexA daily escalation/de-escalation index for Israel, Lebanon, Syria, the Palestinian territories and Jordan, from open-source indicators & warnings. A heuristic, not a forecast.

What changed · 11 Sep 2026

Saudi Arabia shut its East-West oil pipeline after drone attacks traced to Iraqi territory, while Israel killed a senior Hamas commander and settler incidents continued in the West Bank.

• Military posture: 5/10 · Overall judgement: routine-plus pattern on the fronts; regional spillover remains high.
• Diplomatic / political: 5/10 · Iran announced talks with Gulf states in Oman on Hormuz management; no Israel-Lebanon or Gaza talks progress was reported (Times of Israel).
• Economic / informational: 6/10 · Saudi Arabia temporarily shut the East-West pipeline after drone attacks believed to come from Iran-backed militias in Iraq; oil stayed above $100 (Times of Israel).
• Humanitarian: 5/10 · Democratic lawmakers raised Israel's reported denial of entry to Palestinian-heritage US citizens (Times of Israel).
• EW / SIGINT: 3/10 · No new interference beyond routine background jamming was reported in the sources reviewed.

Sources

• Times of Israel: Sept. 11: In Jewish New Year greeting, Netanyahu says US-Israel alliance 'stronger than ever'

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