Levant Tension IndexA daily escalation/de-escalation index for Israel, Lebanon, Syria, the Palestinian territories and Jordan, from open-source indicators & warnings. A heuristic, not a forecast.

Index47 / 100
24 h change+0.1
StatusELEVATED
Warning signalNo spikes
Assessment13 Sep 2026
Last updated23:55 UTC5 Oct 2026

What changed · 13 Sep 2026

Katz warned that anyone approaching Ali Taher Ridge will be destroyed, the IDF killed two Hamas engineers in Gaza City, and settlers attacked villages near Salfit and Ramallah.

  • Military posture: 5/10 · Overall judgement: steady pattern on the fronts.
  • Diplomatic / political: 5/10 · Kushner and Likud traded accusations over the Doha strike; Oman postponed the Iran-Gulf Hormuz talks (Times of Israel).
  • Economic / informational: 6/10 · The Saudi pipeline shutdown put up to 4% of global oil supply at risk, with repairs estimated at five to six weeks (Reuters).
  • Humanitarian: 5/10 · No new aid-access restriction reported.
  • EW / SIGINT: 3/10 · No new interference beyond routine background jamming was reported in the sources reviewed.

Sources

Open the interactive view → · Sign in to download the full data (CSV/JSON, free account)