Levant Tension IndexA daily escalation/de-escalation index for Israel, Lebanon, Syria, the Palestinian territories and Jordan, from open-source indicators & warnings. A heuristic, not a forecast.

What changed · 14 Sep 2026

Eight US Marines were hurt when an Iranian missile hit near Hormuz; in the West Bank settlers threw stones in Burqa and set fields alight in Deir Ballut.

• Military posture: 5/10 · Overall judgement: unchanged on the fronts; regional naval clashes continue.
• Diplomatic / political: 5/10 · Trump said he is open to engagement with Iran; no mediator withdrawal or talks collapse reported (Times of Israel).
• Economic / informational: 5/10 · The US sanctioned Russia's VTB over Iran-related evasion; an oil tanker exploded after striking mines in Hormuz, per the IRGC via Fars (Times of Israel).
• Humanitarian: 5/10 · Belgium declined to evacuate 13 Gaza scholarship students (AFP).
• EW / SIGINT: 3/10 · No new interference beyond routine background jamming was reported in the sources reviewed.

Sources

• Times of Israel: Sept. 14: Otzma Yehudit files petition to disqualify Democrats party in tit-for-tat

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