Index45 / 100
24 h change+0.2
StatusELEVATED
Warning signalNo spikes
Assessment15 Sep 2026
Last updated23:55 UTC5 Oct 2026
What changed · 15 Sep 2026
The IDF and Shin Bet said they killed a Hamas Rafah Brigade commander; Palestinian media reported two dead including an 8-year-old girl in a Khan Younis strike.
- Military posture: 5/10 · Overall judgement: steady pattern on the fronts.
- Diplomatic / political: 5/10 · Military chiefs of Israel, the US, Jordan, Egypt and Gulf states met to discuss the Iran war (Axios, CENTCOM via Times of Israel).
- Economic / informational: 5/10 · The Trump administration was reported planning a $2.8 billion munitions sale to Israel (Reuters).
- Humanitarian: 5/10 · Kerem Shalom was closed for Rosh Hashanah; casualty claims in Khan Younis are attributed to Palestinian media.
- EW / SIGINT: 3/10 · No new interference beyond routine background jamming was reported in the sources reviewed.
Sources
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