Index49 / 100
24 h change+1.1
StatusELEVATED
Warning signalNo spikes
Assessment22 Sep 2026
Last updated23:55 UTC5 Oct 2026
What changed · 22 Sep 2026
At the UN General Assembly the Qatari emir and Turkey's president accused Israel over Gaza, Jordan's king called Israel's presence in Syria a regional threat, and 14 settler activists crossed into Syria before being retrieved.
- Military posture: 5/10 · Overall judgement: steady pattern on the fronts.
- Diplomatic / political: 6/10 · Israel's delegation walked out on Erdogan; Iran's delegation walked out on Trump; US envoys met Iranian counterparts for three hours and Trump said it went very well (Times of Israel).
- Economic / informational: 5/10 · The first Iranian flights were cancelled as US airline sanctions took effect (Times of Israel).
- Humanitarian: 5/10 · Qatar's emir described Gaza as genocide; this is a political characterisation attributed to him, not a verified finding.
- EW / SIGINT: 3/10 · No new interference beyond routine background jamming was reported in the sources reviewed.
Sources
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