Index49 / 100
24 h change−6.4
StatusELEVATED
Warning signalNo spikes
Assessment24 Sep 2026
Last updated23:55 UTC5 Oct 2026
What changed · 24 Sep 2026
Israeli forces set off large explosions near Taybeh and Deir Siryan in south Lebanon, Netanyahu told Syria's president Israeli troops will not withdraw, and he attacked Qatar and Turkey at the UN.
- Military posture: 5/10 · Overall judgement: steady pattern with continued demolitions in Lebanon.
- Diplomatic / political: 6/10 · Netanyahu's UN speech criticised Qatar and Turkey and drew rebuttals from Qatar (Times of Israel).
- Economic / informational: 5/10 · Houthis claimed attacks on Riyadh and Aramco's Yanbu facilities, which Saudi Arabia said it intercepted (Times of Israel).
- Humanitarian: 5/10 · No new aid-access restriction reported.
- EW / SIGINT: 3/10 · No new interference beyond routine background jamming was reported in the sources reviewed.
Sources
- Times of Israel: Live blog, 24 September 2026
- Antiwar.com: Israel continues to pound southern Lebanon but reportedly reduces deployment of ground troops (citing Israeli Army Radio, NNA)
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