Levant Tension IndexA daily escalation/de-escalation index for Israel, Lebanon, Syria, the Palestinian territories and Jordan, from open-source indicators & warnings. A heuristic, not a forecast.

What changed · 3 Oct 2026

An overnight Israeli strike on a Gaza City apartment killed five including four women, and settlers attacked olive pickers south of Nablus as the harvest began.

• Military posture: 6/10 · Overall judgement: steady pattern on the fronts.
• Diplomatic / political: 5/10 · Iran's president said talks with the US are meaningless (Times of Israel).
• Economic / informational: 5/10 · Houthis claimed an Aramco facility strike in Riyadh (Reuters).
• Humanitarian: 5/10 · Casualty figures for the Gaza City strike are as reported by Al Jazeera and the Times of Israel.
• EW / SIGINT: 3/10 · No new interference beyond routine background jamming was reported in the sources reviewed.

Sources

• Times of Israel: Oct. 3: Eisenkot links PM's rejection of state inquiry into Oct. 7 to flydubai near disaster

Open the interactive view → · Sign in to download the full data (CSV/JSON, free account)